BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Florida St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 62 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (4-4) Overall: (5-7) Overall Strength =   85.13

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/05/2021 Home    L    95.53  38  41   1A   6 ( 11-  1) Notre Dame              9.85    -12.85                      
  2 09/11/2021 Home    L    63.11  17  20   1B  48 (  5-  6) Jacksonville St       -22.57     19.57                      
  3 09/18/2021 Away    L *  77.47  14  35   1A   9 ( 10-  2) Wake Forest            -8.21    -12.79                      
  4 09/25/2021 Home    L *  79.20  23  31   1A  40 (  6-  6) Louisville             -6.48     -1.52                      
  5 10/02/2021 Home    W *  82.95  33  30   1A  69 (  5-  7) Syracuse               -2.73      5.73                      
  6 10/09/2021 Away    W * 101.68  35  25   1A  48 (  6-  6) North Carolina         16.00     -6.00                      
  7 10/23/2021 Home    W   105.54  59   3   1A 130 (  1- 11) Massachusetts          19.86 *   36.14                      
  8 10/30/2021 Away    L *  88.98  20  30   1A  16 (  9-  3) Clemson                 3.30    -13.30                      
  9 11/06/2021 Home    L *  79.60  14  28   1A  13 (  9-  3) North Carolina St      -6.08     -7.92                      
 10 11/13/2021 Home    W *  90.51  31  28   1A  52 (  7-  5) Miami FL                4.83     -1.83                      
 11 11/20/2021 Away    W *  87.31  26  23   1A  73 (  6-  6) Boston College          1.63      1.37                      
 12 11/27/2021 Away    L    90.08  21  24   1A  39 (  6-  6) Florida                 4.40     -7.40                      
      Averages              86.83  27.6 26.5

Best game:  105.54 = 56 point win over Massachusetts
Worst game:  63.11 = 3 point loss to Jacksonville St
Team stdev:  11.48